News · triage
A lane can carry three live dossiers. Roughly a hundred and fifty plausible candidates arrive a week. The expensive decision is not what is true — it is what is worth a week, and this is the rule that decision follows.
Six free sources, six axes, four of them measurable by machine and two that need a person to read the thing. The machine fills what it can measure and reports what it cannot, rather than guessing a number to make the row look complete.
Last run 2026-08-05T12:04:20+00:00.
Ranked by the strict reading. Nothing here is open until a person reads it — the machine axes together describe a paper that is recent, on-topic, by named authors and carries a DOI, which is several hundred papers a week. The gap column is how many points are resting on judgment nobody has applied yet.
| Strict | Measured | Gap | Band | Candidate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.9 | 90.6 | +31.7 | read | The Length of Martian Crater Rays and Their Relation to Lunar Cold Spotsarxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-03 · Trevor P. Erwin, Brandon C. Johnson, David Minton |
| 55.6 | 85.6 | +29.9 | read | Simultaneous Mars-orbit observations reveal Kelvin-Helmholtz instability-driven bulk atmospheric ion escapearxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-04 · Chi Zhang, Chuanfei Dong, Gangkai Poh |
| 48.1 | 74.0 | +25.9 | log | A study on the contribution of the interplanetary medium in radio occultation experimentsarxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-04 · Keshav Aggarwal, R. K. Choudhary, Abhirup Datta |
| 47.8 | 73.5 | +25.7 | log | NASA mission predicts solar explosion’s arrival at Earth with stunning precisionrss:science_news · 2026-08-04 · Rachel Berkowitz |
| 46.2 | 71.0 | +24.9 | log | Single-Photon Counting CMOS Detectors for the Habitable Worlds Observatoryarxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-03 · Edwin Alexani, Justin P. Gallagher, Donald F. Figer |
| 46.1 | 70.9 | +24.8 | log | A new NASA Pioneer: the Globe Orbiting Soft X-ray Polarimeter (GOSoX)arxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-03 · Herman L Marshall, Sarah N T Heine, Alan Garner |
| 46.1 | 71.0 | +24.8 | log | HIP 61637 b: a TESS Brown Dwarf in a Near-circular Orbit around a Massive A-type Stararxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-04 · Nino Ephremidze, David W. Latham, Perry Berlind |
| 45.6 | 70.1 | +24.5 | log | Daily Briefing: How smallpox reached the Americasrss:nature · 2026-07-31 · Jacob Smith |
| 45.6 | 70.1 | +24.5 | log | ESCAPE: a small explorer mission to study the stellar drivers of exoplanet evolutionarxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-01 · Allison Youngblood, Kevin France, Brian Fleming |
| 45.2 | 69.5 | +24.3 | log | Cosmology in the Einstein Telescope era: comparing traditional and simulation-based methods for population inferencearxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-04 · Giovanni Antinozzi, Guillermo Franco Abellán, Davide Sciotti |
| 45.2 | 69.6 | +24.4 | log | The Space Coronagraph Optical Bench (SCoOB): 11. Modeling and correction of chromatic aberrationsarxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-03 · Kyle Van Gorkom, Ramya M. Anche, Saraswathi Kalyani Subramanian |
| 45.2 | 69.5 | +24.3 | log | Tomographer: End-to-end Redshift Distribution Estimation for Source Catalogs and Intensity Mapsarxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-04 · Yi-Kuan Chiang, Yu Voon Ng, Yu-Ren Lin |
| 45.1 | 69.3 | +24.3 | log | Climate benefit and ecological cost trade-offs for ocean iron fertilizationrss:nature · 2026-07-29 · Jun Yu |
| 45.1 | 69.4 | +24.3 | log | Data reduction pipeline for the SuMAC millimeter-wave spectrometer at the LMTarxiv:astro-ph.IM · 2026-08-04 · A. M. Lapuente, P. S. Barry, M. Becerril-Tapia |
| 45.1 | 69.4 | +24.3 | log | Formation of nitriles and isonitriles by the heavy-ion irradiation of propionitrile in N2-rich astrophysical icesarxiv:astro-ph.EP · 2026-08-04 · Ana L. F. de Barros, David Dubois, Sreeja Raghunandanan |
A shortlist without a denominator is a recommendation. With one, it is a measurement.
| Band | Means | Count | Share of the run |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | start a dossier | 0 | 0.0% |
| read | worth twenty minutes of a person's time | 2 | 1.3% |
| watch | real, not this week | 0 | 0.0% |
| log | recorded, not pursued | 153 | 98.7% |
| Source | Candidates |
|---|---|
arxiv:astro-ph.EP | 25 |
arxiv:astro-ph.IM | 25 |
arxiv:physics.hist-ph | 6 |
federal_register | 14 |
rss:nature | 75 |
rss:science_news | 10 |
General news aggregators are deliberately excluded. A news feed delivers coverage-of-coverage, which is the material this rubric exists to reject — ingesting it would be paying to generate work for the filter.
| Axis | Weight | Kind | Rule |
|---|---|---|---|
retrievable | 20 | machine | a DOI, arXiv id or federal document number that a reader can pull themselves |
lane_fit | 20 | machine | overlap with the subjects this show has actually covered, measured from the corpus |
freshness | 15 | machine | decays over 60 days; a story nobody has touched in a quarter is not news |
named_owner | 10 | machine | a named author or agency who owns the claim and can be written to |
decisive_test | 20 | human | is there an observable that settles it, runnable with the tools at hand |
contradiction | 15 | human | visible tension: claim against its own data, source against source, market against story |
lane_fit is measured, not asserted. A hand-written
keyword list would encode what someone imagines the lane to be. This one is derived
at runtime from the scored claim corpus, weighting each topic by how central it is —
1,012 terms on this build. The vocabulary updates itself when new
episodes are scored, so the lane never has to remember to tell the triage what it
now covers.
The three dossiers already published were chosen by hand, months before this rubric existed. If the rubric scores them below its own open line, the rubric is wrong: the run exits non-zero and refuses to rank anything.
Current state: PASS
| Dossier | Strict | Measured | Band | Why it was worth a week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| trump-disclosure | 87.3 | 87.3 | open | Three falsification observables with dated market settlements, and a priced gap between the corpus at 0.11 and Kalshi at 0.0605. |
| moon-ufo | 85.4 | 85.4 | open | A pixel/sky/Moon null on the raw SER settles it, and the contradiction is internal — the label is refuted by numbers the authors published. |
| amazon-frontier | 81.4 | 81.4 | open | A timestamped prediction scored against a later measurement; the tension is between detections in flown strips and a basin-wide extrapolation. |
moon-ufo
scores 0.28 on lane_fit — the lowest of the three, barely
matching the show's measured vocabulary — and is carried by its two human axes. A
purely mechanical triage would have filed it under
log. That is the clearest available argument for why
the human axes hold 35 of the 100 points.
This was not the first design. The first version let a candidate reach open on machine axes alone, and on the first live run three exoplanet papers were ranked as dossiers on the strength of having recent dates and DOIs. The band rule was changed rather than the weights, because the weights were not the thing that was wrong.
Recorded here rather than fixed silently, because the interesting part is not the bugs — it is that the output looked healthy for as long as they lasted.
The Nature feed supplies 75 of the 155 daily candidates. Every one of them was
arriving with an empty date and an empty identifier. Not because Nature withholds
them: the feed states both, as dc:date and as
dc:identifier. The date parser tried three formats and Nature's plain
2026-08-05 was not among them, and the identifier was being scraped by
regex from the link and description, where the DOI does not appear — while sitting
in plain sight one element away.
Under the strict reading an unmeasured axis costs its full weight, so each of those items was docked 35 points of 100: fifteen for freshness, twenty for retrievability. Half the daily pull was being penalised for a missing format string. Nothing in the output said so, because a genuinely weak candidate and an unparsed one produce the same low number.
So the line was re-derived from something that cannot drift with a parser: the four machine axes can award at most 65 points, and a candidate must now earn three-quarters of them — 49 — before it costs a person twenty minutes. That admits 2 of 155 today, or about 14 a week against a lane that can genuinely read fifteen; the agreement is offered as corroboration and not as the reason, because choosing a threshold for the count it produces is how a rubric ends up only ever agreeing with the person who wrote it. The reason is that an absolute line can report a weak day. A percentile admits the same share of whatever arrives and therefore cannot.
The federal-register lane was not affected and was not adjusted. Its documents score zero on freshness because the newest is dated 2024-12-11 — the UAP apparatus has filed nothing in twenty months. That is a measurement, not a bug, and it is the single most interesting thing this pipeline currently reports.
The parser fixes above repaired what the sources delivered. This one was in the scoring itself, and it had been inflating precisely the candidates the lane least wanted.
lane_fit tested each of the 1,012 vocabulary terms
with a plain substring match. Nothing in the output showed what that meant in practice,
so it was worth printing the matches and looking: sting was matching
inside existing, pear inside appearing,
lore inside explorer, craft inside
spacecraft, and occult inside radio
occultation — a standard astronomy term. A paper on interplanetary radio
occultation was scoring as on-lane partly because the word contains the word
occult.
Each false hit paid the same floor weight a genuine one-off subject earns, and the axis summed every match rather than the strongest ones — so eight accidents maxed an axis worth 20 points. Its own comment had always said "three central subjects present is a strong match", but the code divided by a literal 3.0 while only one term in the corpus carries full weight. No candidate could reach the ceiling through central subjects; it could only get there by accumulating generic words. The axis was measuring abstract length.
lane_fit from 0.240 to 0.173
(00_control_room/measure_lane_fit_change.py runs both scorers over the
cache and prints this; the figures are that script's output on the 2026-08-05 pull).
Under a percentile-shaped line all three corrections would have been absorbed by
re-fitting the threshold, and the queue would have gone on looking exactly as
healthy as before.
What the corrected axis then admits is worth stating plainly rather than tidying
away. The three dossiers this lane actually chose to publish average
0.44 on lane_fit. The three candidates the same axis
ranks highest today average 0.69, and 2 of them
score above every published dossier. They are ordinary planetary science — crater ray
lengths, an instability in the Martian ionosphere.
Not corrected here, on purpose. Re-weighting an axis against three
published examples is fitting to three examples, which is the failure this whole page
argues against. The test that settles it is dull and takes months: score each dossier
as it is opened, and check whether lane_fit separates the opened set from
the passed-over one at n large enough to mean anything. Until then it is recorded as a
known defect with a stated size, which is worth more than a confident re-weighting.
Triage decides what to look at. The claim rubric decides what a claim is worth once you have looked. The dossiers are what comes out the far end, each with a call and a set of options. Full rule: RUBRIC.md, version 1.0.